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INTELLIGENT MACHINE LEARNING APPROACH FOR ELECTRICITY LOSS ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING IN POWER TRANSMISSION NETWORKS

Authors

  • Uteuliev N.U

    DSc (Phys.-Math.), Prof.
    Author
  • Bazarbaeva U.X.

    Master's student
    Author

Keywords:

electricity loss; power transmission networks; machine learning; random forest; cascade model; regression and classification; IQR; adaptive algorithms; energy systems; interpretable artificial intelligence

Abstract

This study presents an intelligent machine learning framework for electricity loss analysis in power transmission networks. The proposed approach combines a two-stage cascade prediction algorithm with an adaptive post-processing mechanism based on interquartile range (IQR) statistics. The regression model estimates electricity losses, while the classification model identifies their causes using the predicted loss value as an additional feature. An adaptive post-processing algorithm ensures consistency with physical constraints and generates interpretable explanations for each prediction. The proposed framework improves prediction accuracy, provides reliability estimation, and enhances model transparency, making it suitable for practical applications in energy systems

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Published

2026-04-13